Monday, April 13, 2015

India Fell Down of Inflation

Inflation in India fell down from 5.37 percent in February to 5.17 percent in March. The data contradicted with economists forecast that the consumer price would rise in March to 5.5 percent. Moreover, the food inflation lightened to 6.14 percent compared with February upward 6.88 percent. However, this falling down of food inflation is still below the RBI target that is 6 percent in year-end.

Looking at the data, economists believe that it is a sign of better progress in India economic growth. The India’s central bank has cut the interest rate twice this year and the third may be done outside the schedule system this year. For now, the key rate is 7.5 percent.

The down of inflation could not be separated with a good weather that provides more controllable harvest, the dip in global oil price, and the climbing of Indian stocks. The factory production rose at the fastest pace in three months at February. The industrial rising reached 5 percent in February exceeded the 33 analyst in Bloomberg survey estimation that the rising would reach 3.3 percent.
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Some factors helped Indian market developed in fast pace. They are delaying in interest rate hike in the US, China stimulus, India better investment destination, and upgrading of credit outlook by Moody’s.